Traders Focus on Earnings While Tariff Threat Looms Larger

A week that started with a selloff appears set to finish with a rally into month-end. US index futures are up 0.2%-0.8% with NASDAQ futures leading the advance. Over in Europe, the Dax is up 0.2% and the FTSE is up 0.3%. Commodity action is mixed with Crude Oil up 0.2% and Copper down 0.4%. Alternative currencies are mixed with Silver up 0.6%, Gold flat, and Bitcoin down 0.6%.

Apple is helping to boost the NASDAQ today, with a 4.3% premarket gain on the back of positive earnings ($2.40 vs street $2.35). Chevron is down 1.6% premarket after disappointing on earnings ($2.06 vs street $2.11). In contrast Exxon Mobil beat the street on earnings ($1.67 vs street $1.55). Headliners next week include Amazon.com*, Alphabet, and Merck in the US, plus Suncor Energy, Thomson Reuters, Great West Lifeco, Constellation Software, BCE, and others in Canada.

One surprise this morning is that despite President Trump being set to launch 25% tariffs against Canada and Mexico starting as soon as tomorrow, the US is down slightly against the Canadian Dollar and Mexican Peso, while it is up slightly against the Euro and Pound. Buy on rumor, sell on news? 

The US 10-year treasury note yield is up slightly near 4.55%. US Core PCE inflation was in-line and unchanged at 2.8%. Chicago PMI (street 40.0) is due at 9:45 am EST. Next week brings a flurry of economic reports including Manufacturing and Service PMI surveys, US construction spending, US and Canada job numbers and a Bank of England meeting.

*Shares of Amazon.com are held in some portfolios managed by SIA Wealth Management.

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